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Why Download Why Download

Why Download The BET 1ST INNING program?  

For starters, there is a lot of money to be made on this play provided you understand all of the parameters that go into this wager.  You cannot rely on one single factor to make this wager. Secondly, almost every bookmaker views this play as a prop wager and along with it a 30 cent line.  If you are going to wager on a .30 cent line, you need to gather as much information as possible before making a play.  The program does not generate picks; it allows the player to review salient 1st Inning and Total's Data with only a few keystrokes.  The Download is Free, but donations and contributions to keep the site going are welcomed and appreciated.

Bet Parameters Bet Parameters

Will A Run Be Scored In The First Inning has many parameters to be factored before a wager is placed.

- Teams.  Which teams score early?  Which teams give up early runs?  How have teams performed over the past 5, 10 or 15 games? 
- Pitchers.  Which pitchers warm up well and put the side down 1, 2, 3?  Which pitchers give up early walks, hits and runs?
- Which ball clubs perform well offensively at home?  Which pitchers perform well on the road.
- Which ballparks tend to give up runs early and often.
This wager should not be made based on one simple factor or stat.  (i.e. The Padres don't score many runs, bet the no)  This wager involves numerous factors; each of which should be studied prior to laying your bet.

Over/Unders and ATS Bets

- How many times did Milwaukee go under 8 runs this year?  
- How many times did Chicago cover the -1.5 spread at home?  Away?  Total?
- How many times did the Mets go over 3 runs this season?
Over/Under and ATS stats for all teams simply by entering the bookmaker's lines.


Examples Examples

1st Inning Run Scored Wagers

A real world example was cited above so let's look at it from a couple of different angles.  The example was the Padres don't score a lot of runs, bet the NO.  As of June 9th, the Padres were in the basement of the National League in run production.  Over 64 games they had scored 222 total runs.  Over those 64 games they scored a 1st inning run 12 times (19%)  A perfect team for the NO wager.  Well not so much.  The Padres pitchers and defense had given up a 1st inning run in 39% of those 64 games.  Thus over 64 games the Padres either scored or gave up a run 42% of the time.  Latos alone has given up a run in the first inning 6 times over 11 starts.
Another real world example focusing on only one or two parameters would be the case of pitcher Anibal Sanchez of the Florida Marlins.  As of early June, Sanchez was sporting an ERA under 3 and a sound win loss record of 5-1.  Based on those stats Sanchez looks like a lock NO play against the majority of National League teams.  Yet Sanchez had given up a run in the first inning 7 out of 12 appearances for an average just under 60%.  Conversely, as of early June Chris Capuano of the NY Mets had a record of 5-6 with an ERA of 4.40.  On those stats, Capuano looks like a good choice to give up a first inning tally.  In 12 starts he has yet to give up a first inning run.
There are many examples of misperceptions when playing this prop bet.  BET 1ST INNING digs into the stats to reveal what is actually occurring on a game to game basis.

Over/Under and ATS Bets

If you play an over/under or a -1.5 ATS based on a team's total run production, you will not have the information needed to make an informed wager.  For example, if Boston were to score 24 runs in a 2 game set (3 games each, total of 6 games) with say the Rays and the Yankees, you would calculate an average of 4 runs per game.  Yet the results from those two series may have been BOS 2, 13, 1 vs Tampa 6, 4, 0 and BOS 0, 6, 2 vs New York 3, 4, 3.  BOS may have averaged 4 runs a game over that 6 game span, but they would have only covered 2 of 6 games where the side total was 3.5.  BET 1ST INNING will calculate the number of times BOS has covered the 3.5 Side Total for a more accurate account of their season to date.

 

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